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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Fulham logo

Stoke
2 - 3
Fulham

Wright-Phillips (1'), Baker (58')
Brown (39'), Harwood-Bellis (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Muniz (2'), Carvalho (33'), Reid (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 0-2 Fulham

Regardless of who they are playing, it is simply not realistic to back against Fulham in second-tier action right now. While we feel that Stoke will put up a stronger fight than Fulham's previous opponents, we still expect another three points for the West Londoners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawFulham
21.47%23.85%54.68%
Both teams to score 51.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54%49.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5%71.5%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46%37.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68%74.32%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02%17.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18%48.82%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 21.47%
    Fulham 54.68%
    Draw 23.85%
Stoke CityDrawFulham
1-0 @ 6.61%
2-1 @ 5.56%
2-0 @ 3.24%
3-1 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.56%
3-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 21.47%
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 6.75%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 11.58%
0-2 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-3 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-4 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 2.39%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 54.68%

How you voted: Stoke vs Fulham

Stoke City
Draw
Fulham
Stoke City
20.0%
Draw
15.6%
Fulham
64.4%
45
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Fulham
3-0
Stoke
Reid (53'), Mitrovic (72')

Wilmot (40')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Fulham
1-0
Stoke
Reid (26')
Reid (20'), Rodak (95')

Ince (20'), Shawcross (60'), Martins Indi (91')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-0
Fulham
Campbell (16'), Gregory (80' pen.)
Ndiaye (63'), Batth (65')

Mitrovic (26'), Bettinelli (79')
Sep 22, 2015 7.45pm
Round Three
Fulham
0-1
Stoke
Crouch (33')
Crouch (72'), Pieters (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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