MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 14:32:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Stuttgart

Maehle (50'), Nmecha (83')
Arnold (3'), Baku (22'), Maehle (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (14', 54' pen.), Vagnomann (77')
Anton (58'), Karazor (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg
Sunday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

Despite a minor slip up last week, Stuttgart are still moving clear of those below them in the race for the Champions League and will be favourites against a side with just two wins in 17. With two extremely difficult games ahead on paper against third-placed Stuttgart here, and unbeaten Bayer Leverkusen next, Wolfsburg may find themselves ominously closer to the bottom three in a couple of weeks time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
27.9% (-0.121 -0.12) 23.72% (0.418 0.42) 48.38% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 58.59% (-1.555 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (-2.009 -2.01)42.99% (2.014 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (-2.022 -2.02)65.39% (2.025 2.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-1.117 -1.12)28.61% (1.121 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-1.421 -1.42)64.42% (1.424 1.42)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.878 -0.88)17.93% (0.881 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (-1.532 -1.53)48.74% (1.535 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 27.9%
    Stuttgart 48.38%
    Draw 23.72%
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.367 0.37)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.9%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.443 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.525 0.53)
0-2 @ 7.58% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.34% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 48.38%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
Draw
Stuttgart
Wolfsburg
15.5%
Draw
17.9%
Stuttgart
66.7%
84
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Stuttgart
3-1
Wolfsburg
Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')
Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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