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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
May 24, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Opel Arena
Leipzig logo

Mainz 05
0 - 5
RB Leipzig


Kunde (20'), Bruma (31'), St Juste (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Werner (11', 48', 75'), Poulsen (23'), Sabitzer (36')
Sabitzer (13'), Upamecano (17'), Werner (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
20.73%20.26%59%
Both teams to score 62.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.86%34.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97%56.02%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.51%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59%11.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82%36.18%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 20.73%
    RB Leipzig 59.01%
    Draw 20.26%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.45%
1-0 @ 4.11%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 7.01%
0-3 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 4.28%
1-4 @ 3.8%
0-4 @ 3.11%
2-4 @ 2.32%
1-5 @ 1.65%
0-5 @ 1.35%
2-5 @ 1.01%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.01%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Mainz
3-3
RB Leipzig
Onisiwo (43'), Niakhate (67'), Mateta (83')
Brosinski (55')
Klostermann (20', 32'), Werner (49')
Kampl (52')
Dec 16, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Poulsen (14', 19'), Werner (74', 88')
Upamecano (27'), Sabitzer (42'), Orban (51')
Onisiwo (38')
Latza (53'), Niakhate (54'), Zentner (66')
Apr 29, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-0
RB Leipzig
De Blasis (29' pen.), Maxim (85'), Baku (90')
Bell (38'), Maxim (89')

Poulsen (30'), Orban (40'), Keita (89')
Keita (90')
Dec 9, 2017 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Mainz
Kampl (29'), Werner (45' pen.)
Laimer (23'), Ilsanker (38')
Quaison (39'), Berggreen (86')
Diallo (44'), Berggreen (68'), Serdar (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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