Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena do Grêmio
Gremio3 - 3Bragantino
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Bragantino.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Gremio
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gremio | Draw | Bragantino |
50.49% ( 0.06) | 25.89% ( -0) | 23.62% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.83% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.74% ( -0.05) | 55.26% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.51% ( -0.04) | 76.49% ( 0.04) |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% ( 0.01) | 21.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% ( 0.01) | 55.21% ( -0.01) |
Bragantino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.27% ( -0.08) | 38.73% ( 0.09) |