Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
