Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slavia Mozyr would win this match.