Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.74%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.