AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2023 at 4pm UK
Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium
Al-Duhail2 - 0Istiqlol Dushanbe
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Duhail and Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-3 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, November 7 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, November 7 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 1-1 Persepolis
Tuesday, November 7 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, November 7 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Al Gharafa | 29 | 3.22 | Brahimi |
| 2 | Al-Sadd | 21 | 3.00 | Afif |
| 3 | Al-Duhail | 18 | 2.57 | Olunga |
| 4 | Al Ahli | 17 | 1.89 | Sliti |
| 5 | Al-Rayyan | 16 | 1.78 | Guedes |
| 6 | Al Shamal | 15 | 1.67 | Gomes |
| 7 | Al Wakrah | 15 | 1.88 | Benyettou |
| 8 | Qatar SC | 15 | 1.67 | Tabata |
| 9 | Umm Salal | 15 | 1.67 | Delort |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 14 | 1.75 | Al Somah |
| 11 | Al Mu'aidar | 13 | 1.44 | Mbenza |
| 12 | Al Markhiya | 5 | 0.56 | Njie |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 52.62%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Duhail | Draw | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
52.62% ( -0.02) | 21.88% ( 0.01) | 25.51% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.93% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
