Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for KTP had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest KTP win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
