World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Sierra Leone
2 - 1
Djibouti

Davies (12'), Kargbo (51')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dadzie (35' pen.)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sierra Leone and Djibouti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Morocco 3-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, January 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Djibouti

Last Game: Liberia 0-0 Djibouti
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Sierra Leone 1-0 Djibouti

Despite Wednesday's fixture being held at a neutral venue (Morocco), Sierra Leone simply have far too many more match-winners than Djibouti, even if most of them do not play in Europe's major leagues, giving the Leone Stars the edge in the round three encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sierra Leone would win this match.

Result
Sierra Leone	Draw	Djibouti
66.55% ( -2.11)	19.24% ( 0.78)	14.2% ( 1.33)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.71% (

-0.49)

41.28% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.31% (

-0.5)

63.68% (

0.5)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.47% (

-0.7)

11.52% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.57% (

-1.52)

36.42% (

1.52)

Djibouti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75% (

1.67)

41.24% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.22% (

1.45)

77.77% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Sierra Leone 66.53%

Djibouti 14.2%

Draw 19.24%

Sierra Leone	Draw	Djibouti
2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.41) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.8% Total : 66.53%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.24%	0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.2%