Friendlies 1

Jan 11, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stade Auguste Denise

Morocco
3 - 1
Sierra Leone

En-Nesyri (30', 55'), Boufal (35')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Komeh (10')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Morocco and Sierra Leone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Morocco
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Sierra Leone

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ivory Coast 5-1 Sierra Leone
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 8.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.15%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Sierra Leone
71.57% ( 0)	19.55% ( -0.04)	8.88% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 34.5% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.51% (

0.26)

55.5% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32% (

0.21)

76.68% (

-0.2)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.65% (

0.09)

14.35% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.79% (

0.16)

42.21% (

-0.16)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.28% (

0.25)

59.72% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.5% (

0.13)

90.51% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Morocco 71.56%

Sierra Leone 8.88%

Draw 19.55%

Morocco	Draw	Sierra Leone
1-0 @ 16.63% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 16.15% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 71.56%	1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.55%	0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.12% Total : 8.88%