We said: Saudi Arabia 2-1 Oman
Despite the difference in positions, this should prove to be a competitive fixture. Nevertheless, while we expect Oman to raise their level with the stakes so high, Saudi Arabia's superior quality should shine through in the crucial moments.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Oman had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Oman win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
