World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 6pm UK
Saudi Arabia1 - 0Japan
Albirakan (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Japan |
| 46.63% | 22.42% | 30.95% |
| Both teams to score 65.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
