World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 6pm UK
Saudi Arabia3 - 2China
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for China had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest China win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | China |
| 40.51% | 23.06% | 36.43% |
| Both teams to score 64.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.72% | 36.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.6% | 58.41% |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% | 18.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.36% | 49.64% |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% | 20.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.29% | 52.71% |
| Score Analysis |
Saudi Arabia 40.51%
China 36.43%
Draw 23.06%
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | China |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.7% Total : 40.51% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 3.75% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.43% |
How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs China
Saudi Arabia
74.7%Draw
8.4%China
16.9%83
