World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round

Jun 5, 2021 at 2am UK

Nicaragua
3 - 0
Belize

Rodriguez (25'), Bonilla (46'), Barrera (51')
Bonilla (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tillett (32'), Mensah (58'), Lewis (61')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Nicaragua and Belize.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Belize had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Belize win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
Nicaragua	Draw	Belize
41.29%	23.96%	34.75%

Both teams to score 61.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.97%

41.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.58%

63.42%

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.89%

20.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.64%

52.36%

Belize Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64%

23.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67%

57.33%

Score Analysis

Nicaragua 41.29%

Belize 34.75%

Draw 23.96%

Nicaragua	Draw	Belize
2-1 @ 8.79% 1-0 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.02% Total : 41.29%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 7.97% 0-1 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.75%