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Croatia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
Slovenia national football team

Croatia
3 - 0
Slovenia

Livaja (33'), Pasalic (66'), Vlasic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bijol (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Croatia and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
CroatiaDrawSlovenia
56.29%25.63%18.08%
Both teams to score 41.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.17%59.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.89%80.11%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63%21.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65%54.35%
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.69%47.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.28%82.72%
Score Analysis
    Croatia 56.28%
    Slovenia 18.08%
    Draw 25.62%
CroatiaDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 15.6%
2-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 4.63%
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.28%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.57%
1-2 @ 4.37%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.08%

How you voted: Croatia vs Slovenia

Croatia
83.3%
Draw
10.7%
Slovenia
6.0%
168
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
1-0
Croatia
Lovric (15')
Kurtic (61'), Mevlja (77')

Barisic (24'), Brozovic (35'), Vrsaljko (65'), Vida (68'), Budimir (76')
rhs 2.0
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