World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Stožice

Slovenia
1 - 0
Croatia

Lovric (15')
Kurtic (61'), Mevlja (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barisic (24'), Brozovic (35'), Vrsaljko (65'), Vida (68'), Budimir (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup qualifier between Slovenia and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Croatia
42.55%	26.72%	30.73%

Both teams to score 50.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72%

54.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33%

75.67%

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75%

25.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40%

60%

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62%

32.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1%

68.9%

Score Analysis

Slovenia 42.55%

Croatia 30.73%

Draw 26.72%

Slovenia	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.4% Total : 42.55%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.73%