Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 94.78%. A draw had a probability of 3.9% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 1.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-4 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.95%) and 0-5 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.81%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 2-1 (0.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.