Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 0-4 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (1.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
