Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
