Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground
Aston Villa0 - 1Everton Ladies
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 West Ham
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League
We said: Aston Villa Women 2-2 Everton Ladies
Although Everton have played one more league game than their opponents, both sides are level on six points, and we think that two closely matched teams will have to settle for a point apiece on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Everton Ladies in this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
30.4% ( 0.48) | 25.26% ( -0.27) | 44.34% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 55.02% ( 1.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.59% ( 1.38) | 48.41% ( -1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.45% ( 1.25) | 70.54% ( -1.25) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% ( 1.04) | 29.62% ( -1.04) |