Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Druids had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Druids win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.