Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
