Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol1 - 1Danubio
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maldonado 1-1 Penarol
Monday, August 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, August 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Boston River | 27 | 10 | 48 |
| 4 | Penarol | 26 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | River Plate | 26 | 11 | 42 |
Last Game: Danubio 3-2 Torque
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Montevideo Wanderers | 27 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Danubio | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Defensor Sporting | 26 | 2 | 39 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Danubio |
47.02% ( 0.14) | 29.15% ( -0.11) | 23.83% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 39.78% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
