
Wanderers3 - 0Progreso
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Progreso |
39.18% | 27.24% | 33.57% |
Both teams to score 49.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.45% | 55.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% | 76.72% |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% | 27.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.81% | 63.19% |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% | 31.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% | 67.39% |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Progreso |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.59% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.57% |
Platero (41'), Loffreda (44')
Colombino (23')
Ginella (28'), Muller (84'), Gonzalez (88')
Noy (15'), Barrandeguy (41'), Villoldo (66'), Gularte (92')
Rivero (98')
Asconeguy (10'), Loffreda (52'), Viega (63'), Gottesman (95')
Asconeguy (98')