Danubio

1 - 0

Fenix

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Danubio in this match.