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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Feb 27, 2021 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Troccoli

Cerro
0 - 1
Nacional


Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
CerroDrawNacional
26.22%27.49%46.29%
Both teams to score 45.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.82%59.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.39%79.6%
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.43%38.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69%75.31%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42%25.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54%60.45%
Score Analysis
    Cerro 26.22%
    Nacional 46.28%
    Draw 27.49%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 6.11%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.42%
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 26.22%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 13.44%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-3 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.42%
1-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 46.28%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2020 12.15am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
5-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (25', 77'), Garcia (50'), Vecino (66' pen.), Cartagena (90+2')
Cabrera (36' pen.)
Garcia (42'), Hernandez (50')
Oct 19, 2019 11pm
Nacional
2-0
Cerro
Ocampo (5'), Rodriguez (91')
Vina (27')

Nunez (45'), Brasil (79'), Alonso (81')
Mar 30, 2019 7pm
Cerro
0-2
Nacional

Tancredi (53'), Diaz (77'), Porras (77')
Bergessio (16'), Rivero (86')
Fernandez (90')
Aug 11, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 4
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Lopez (3')
Nunez (16'), Izquierdo (92'), Irrazabal (95')
Irrazabal (95')
Bergessio (75'), Viudez (77')
Castro (54')
May 13, 2018 7.30pm
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Lopez (39', 61')
Nunez (9'), Lopez (21'), Klein (85')
Bergessio (36'), Fernandez (45')
Arismendi (67'), Bergessio (87')
rhs 2.0
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