Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.74%) and 0-3 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Cerrito	Draw	Defensor Sporting
10.44% ( 1.05)	19.76% ( 0.27)	69.8% ( -1.32)

Both teams to score 39.18% (

2.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.66% (

1.63)

52.33% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.97% (

1.39)

74.02% (

-1.39)

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.51% (

3.17)

54.49% (

-3.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.42% (

1.83)

87.57% (

-1.83)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1% (

0.11)

13.9% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.67% (

0.21)

41.33% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Cerrito 10.44%

Defensor Sporting 69.78%

Draw 19.76%

Cerrito	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.69% Total : 10.44%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.35) Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.76%	0-1 @ 14.94% ( -0.93) 0-2 @ 14.74% ( -0.86) 0-3 @ 9.7% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 4.79% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.14) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.24) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 69.78%