Defensor

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Cerro Largo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerro Largo in this match.