Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.