Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.