Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
