Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 14, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Desna2 - 1Dnipro-1
Bezborodko (30'), Zaviyskiy (86')
Tsymbalyuk (47')
Tsymbalyuk (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dovbyk (79')
Adamyuk (33'), Di Franco (40'), Loginov (43'), Pikhalyonok (75')
Di Franco (59'), Pikhalyonok (75')
Adamyuk (33'), Di Franco (40'), Loginov (43'), Pikhalyonok (75')
Di Franco (59'), Pikhalyonok (75')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Dnipro-1.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 46.3% | 26% | 27.7% |
| Both teams to score 51.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
