Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Estadio Joao Cardoso

Tondela
2 - 1
1e Dezembro

Ba (7' pen.), Rodrigo (47')
Tavares (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Castro (52')
Lobo (24'), Balde (78'), Simoes (81'), Menezes (90+6')
Simoes (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Tondela and 1e Dezembro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 1-0 Tondela
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for 1e Dezembro had a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a 1e Dezembro win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	1e Dezembro
62.65% ( 0.02)	22.16% ( -0.01)	15.18% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.16% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.3% (

0.01)

51.7% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.52% (

0.01)

73.47% (

-0.01)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03% (

0.01)

15.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.74% (

0.02)

45.26% (

-0.02)

1e Dezembro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.74% (

-0.02)

46.25% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.08% (

-0.01)

81.91% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Tondela 62.63%

1e Dezembro 15.18%

Draw 22.16%

Tondela	Draw	1e Dezembro
1-0 @ 13.54% 2-0 @ 12.42% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 62.63%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.16%	0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.18%