Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
