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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 0
Kayserispor

Yavru (10'), Kara (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, January 21 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-1 Istanbulspor
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 2-1 Kayserispor

While the visitors have enjoyed the much stronger first half to the season, it is the Samsunspor who come into the game with momentum, while Kayserispor are quickly dropping down the table, and we see their trajectories continuing with a home victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawKayserispor
61.77% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 21.17% (-0.012 -0.01) 17.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (0.051000000000002 0.05)44.34% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (0.049999999999997 0.05)66.71% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)13.82% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (0.042000000000002 0.04)41.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)39.38% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)76.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 61.76%
    Kayserispor 17.06%
    Draw 21.16%
SamsunsporDrawKayserispor
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 61.76%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.06%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Kayserispor

Samsunspor
87.5%
Draw
8.3%
Kayserispor
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 5.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray12111033112234
2Fenerbahce1292133112229
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor136431913622
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul124441717016
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor125161220-816
10GaziantepGaziantep124351818015
11KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
12KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
15KayserisporKayserispor122641322-912
16Bodrumspor133281017-711
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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