While Caykur Rizespor will hope for a boost under their new manager, who will be keen to topple his former club, we ultimately back Galatasaray to get over the line at home to a side lacking quality or momentum.
Despite their struggles for convincing victories, Gala may still come in on a high after their late turnaround last time out, and their superior squad should make it two wins on the bounce.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 68.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
