Istanbulspor showed some promising signs in their last match, but winning away at the team in fourth place is likely to be a step too far for them, especially considering that they have lost four of the last matches involving the two teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.

Result
Adana Demirspor	Draw	Istanbulspor
68.48% ( -0.28)	17.73% ( 0.13)	13.79% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 56.43% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.03% (

-0.23)

34.98% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.04% (

-0.26)

56.96% (

0.27)

Adana Demirspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

-0.12)

9.3% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.61% (

-0.3)

31.39% (

0.31)

Istanbulspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.22% (

0.07)

37.78% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.44% (

0.07)

74.56% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Adana Demirspor 68.48%

Istanbulspor 13.79%

Draw 17.73%

Adana Demirspor	Draw	Istanbulspor
2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.56% Total : 68.48%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.73%	1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 13.79%