Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between NS Mura and Celje.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
36.33% ( 0.92) | 24.57% ( -0.03) | 39.11% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( 0.26) | 43.68% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( 0.25) | 66.07% ( -0.25) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( 0.62) | 23.72% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.15% ( 0.89) | 57.86% ( -0.88) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.32) | 22.28% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.26% ( -0.48) | 55.74% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
NS Mura 36.33%
Celje 39.11%
Draw 24.56%
| NS Mura | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.09% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.11% |
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2023 7.15pm
