Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
0.92) 
-0.03) 
