Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Celje	Draw	Aluminij
51.32% ( 0.01)	23.54% ( -0)	25.14% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.69% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64% (

0.01)

44.36% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.26% (

0.01)

66.73% (

-0.01)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

0.01)

17.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.3% (

0.01)

47.7% (

-0.02)

Aluminij Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57%

31.43% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-0)

67.81% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Celje 51.32%

Aluminij 25.14%

Draw 23.53%

Celje	Draw	Aluminij
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.32%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.14%