Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Pescara had a probability of 27.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Pescara win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.