Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match.
