Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Pescara had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Pescara win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.