Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Parma had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.