Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.