Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
