Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Logrones win with a probability of 43.82%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Logrones win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for UD Logrones in this match.