Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.71%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 1-2 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 1-0 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.