Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.54%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 30.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (6.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.74%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.