Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.